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DTN Midday Grain Comments 08/28 10:48
Grains Rally Sharply Higher at Midday Across the Board
Corn trade is 4 to 5 cents higher at midday, soybeans are 17 to 18 cents
higher, and wheat is 18 to 26 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
The U.S. stock market is firmer at midday with the S and P 35 points higher.
The dollar index is 38 points higher. The interest rate products are mixed.
Energy trade is mixed with crude .40 lower and natural gas .04 cents lower with
unleaded and diesel up .07 cents. Livestock trade is mostly lower. Precious
metals are weaker with gold off 50.00.
CORN:
Corn trade is 4 to 5 cents higher at midday with another set of fresh highs
coming in again with as we get more overbought heading into the September
contract going into delivery and the end of the month with strong positive
spillover from wheat and soybeans. Ethanol margins are narrowing a bit more
with corn firming and summer driving season winding down but unleaded continues
to hold the upper end of the range. The daily export wire was quiet to close
the week. Weather looks to keep the crop moving forward especially in the west
with early southern harvest to keep picking up. Basis will likely drift lower
into September contract delivery. On the December chart the 20-day at $4.90 3/4
is support with the strong finish with the fresh high at $5.41 1/4 as further
resistance.
SOYBEANS:
Soybeans are 17 to 18 cents higher at midday with trade pressing into fresh
highs as well with product strength with meal scoring fresh highs and oil
continuing to shake off recent weakness as we continue to get more overbought
as well. Meal is 10.00 to 11.00 higher and oil is 185 to 195 higher. Basis will
likely fade into early harvest but crush margins will limit downside. Weather
looks to keep near term podfill weather in better shape for most through the
end of the month with some areas of heat stress. The daily export wire was
active with 182,000 metric tons to China, 226,000 to unknown and 100,000 of
meal to each for Germany and the Netherlands. On the November contract chart
support is the 20-day at 12.06 where we find the 20-day moving average with
resistance the fresh high at 12.87.
WHEAT:
Wheat is 18 to 26 cents higher at midday with trade continuing to get more
overbought as well as we continue to see support from row crops and world
markets pushing us to fresh highs again today. Spring wheat harvest should
start to wind down soon as we push towards 3/4 complete with the plains needing
further moisture ahead of fall planting soon. Matif wheat is solidly higher
today as well. On the KC December chart support is the 20-day at $7.59 with the
fresh high at $8.48 as resistance.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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