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DTN Midday Grain Comments 03/05 10:56
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures All Higher at Midday Thursday
Corn futures are 5 to 6 cents higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
5 to 6 cents higher; wheat futures are 9 to 15 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 5 to 6 cents higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
5 to 6 cents higher; wheat futures are 9 to 15 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is weaker at midday with the S&P 50 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 60 points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is
sharply higher with crude up 4.90 and natural gas is up .02. Livestock trade is
mostly lower. Precious metals are weaker with gold 58.00 lower.
CORN:
Corn futures are 5 to 6 cents higher at midday with trade moving back into
the upper end of the week's range with flat spread action as we wait to see
further development of world events. Ethanol margins should see further blender
gains with the unleaded strength into spring. Weekly export sales were very
strong at 2.023 million metric tons (mmt). Basis likely remains sideways in the
short term. New-crop price ratios have held the range this week with further
gains by soybeans needed to trigger a broader shift. On the May chart, support
is the 20-day moving average at $4.40 with fresh high at $4.52 1/2.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 5 to 6 cents higher at midday with oil continuing to
lead the product complex as meal fades back to the lower end of the recent
range. Meal is 1.50 to 2.50 lower and oil is 170 to 180 points higher. South
America should see little change in the short term as Brazil harvest rolls
forward with some early shipping bottlenecks. Basis will likely remain flat
barring a bigger shipping pace increase on catch China movement. Weekly export
sales were disappointing at 383,500 metric tons with 255,800 of meal, and oil
at 7,700. On the May contract, chart support is $11.51 1/4, where we find the
20-day moving average, with the fresh high at $11.85 as resistance.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 9 to 15 cents higher at midday with action bouncing back
to the top of the recent range with KC holding the premium with the July
contract back above $6.00. Weather for the Plains looks to stay warm through
this week with the moisture concentrated to the east into the weekend before
being expected to broaden the second week. Weekly export sales were soft at
203,100 metric tons. Matif wheat is lightly higher Thursday morning. On the KC
May chart, support is the 20-day moving average at $5.64, with resistance the
fresh high at $5.90 3/4, which we are just below at midday.
**
Join DTN Lead Analyst Rhett Montgomery on March 10 at 12:30 p.m. CT for an
expert breakdown and analysis of the latest March WASDE report. Rhett provides
an unbiased reaction to USDA's report, including in-depth insights into corn,
soy, wheat, and more. Plus, we'll look at other grain inventories and potential
effects on commodity markets from weather events and more. Sign up for Rhett's
webinar here: https://www.dtn.com/wasde-webinars
**
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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